Weili Chiu is a skilled investment professional. A Singaporean of Chinese descent, he excelled in academics at a young age. At aged 12, he was second in Singapore in the National Primary School Leaving Examinations. In the Singapore Armed Forces, he was an officer with the combat engineers. He obtained a GIC scholarship to study Philosophy, Politics and Economics at University College, the University of Oxford. At Oxford he was the President of the Asia Pacific Society. He joined GIC and served at the Gold Unit as a gold trader, an FX trader with the Developed Markets Group and founded and headed the Quant Team at the FX department. After leaving GIC, he worked in a family office RIVIER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT as a senior investment professional. He is now the CEO of Empire Capital, a proprietary trading firm actively trading in U.S. equities.

Below are his views:

March 5 2026

Yesterday’s spike in BTC presents a short opportunity as weekly chart is firmly in a bear trend, with an initial target of 30,000

In the case of Iran war it is an oil shock and inflationary hence bad for equities

Gold likely to be underpinned by sustained central bank demand

Bonds fall because of inflation expectations

Oil likely to spike

January 15, 2026

Profit target for S&P: 7500 to 7800; corresponding to 10-14% gain in 2026.

An impressive gain of 30% of MSCI China in 2025 may induce institutional investors currently underweight China to be in line with their equity benchmarks; this could prompt a further rise of Chinese equities. The fundamental view behind the move in 2025 was sparked by deepseek’s release and more importantly fueled by the rise of innovation in China. China will shed its uninvestible status

March 9, 2026

Trump signals swift end to the Iran war and this changes our outlook to a bullish tilt; we favour 7000 in the coming months; with a potential to 7500 if the U.S. labour market holds up.

March 4 2026

Expect S&P to fall to 5491 on inflationary effects from straits of Hormuz closing; a fall of 20%

March 23, 2026

Swift end to Iran war in sight; target 7500 in the S&P. Long Lockheed Martin with a 11% upside; take profit at 700

April 6, 2026

Israel promises trump regime change and a four day war; then it drags and now straits of Hormuz crisis. Trump is concerned about American gas prices and need a short war now objective is seizure of enriched uranium through ground forces and then end the war. Straits of Hormuz will be reopened as Iran only wants to stop us and Israeli ships which is a tiny proportion of traffic; America is an oil producer not importer! Oil price will collapse and U.S. stock markets would rise again. Best trade: buy S&P dips on land invasion sell off.

April 1, 2026

Long SOIL ETF and Short Oil

April 14, 2026

S&P has recovered above its weekly 20EMA; expect a move to 7500

May 4, 2026

Take profit in S&P as buffet thinks it is overpriced so short S&P 500 target 6200 within 3 mos

May 29, 2026

Stop Short S&P with long target of 8000

May 6, 2026

Stop out in S&P short and long for 8000

May 12, 2026

Expect a modest correction in the S&P to 7196 to touch the daily 20EMA, which it does every time in every rally

May 15, 2026

Take profit on long S&P at 7500 and done for the year

May 28, 2026

Short S&P and target 6500 due to sovereign bond crisis